East Carolina vs Rice 11/20/2010

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East Carolina is a heavy favorite winning 78% of simulations over Rice. Dominique Davis is averaging 313 passing yards and 2.89 TDs per simulation and Jonathan Williams is projected for 91 rushing yards and a 65% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 22% of simulations where Rice wins, Nick Fanuzzi averages 2.45 TD passes vs 0.78 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.31 TDs to 1.04 interceptions. Sam McGuffie averages 89 rushing yards and 0.9 rushing TDs when Rice wins and 79 yards and 0.48 TDs in losses. East Carolina has a 53% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 86% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is RICE +11

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